Most of the money will almost certainly go towards research, especially within the Go8.
The Group of Eight maintain this mantra for membership:
You cannot deny their huge focus on research.
I agree, they do have a huge focus on research. All I'm saying is that it can't come at the neglect of the teaching; students would be their main source of revenue, and they wouldn't want to jeopardise giving other universities any sort of competitive advantage (if they can help it), which would take their student base away from them.
Well you haven't really explained how the money will be invested back into teaching.
The reason why putting money in research and less in teaching would still be a working business model is that a degree is usually a minimum requirement in many well paying jobs. If no university significantly improves their teaching, and fees increase, it will be the exact same situation as now but with higher fees.
Yes, I’m also working under the assumption that people would still want to go to university because of the necessity of a degree for many jobs. But ultimately someone would exploit the lack of teaching ability for their competitive advantage would they not? If we assume that the situation you described was the case, wouldn't one of the most obvious ways to create revenue would be to increase the appeal for the customers that give you money? Now I concede this may or may not have negative effects on the research at first, but I think this would be an example of a business taking a risk for long term gain.
Yes, some universities may not want to take that risk. It's true that some of the universities that are already on top; USYD, UNSW, Melbourne etc may not want to risk losing their power in the tertiary sector, and it would take the work of an ambitious administration to take that risk. However, what I think is more likely would be that the university that would be exploiting this competitive advantage would be one of the less prestigious universities. Now while they may not be putting as much money into research as what they may want, it's fair to say without sounding too elitist that the research done by the more prestigious universities would always overshadow theirs if the system were to remain the same. Therefore, they could adopt a new business strategy by placing a lot of their emphasis on teaching, enticing more students to come to them. Their research may suffer originally, yes, but surely the increase in profits that arise from the increased customer base would mean that eventually they would have more money to work with then before, and hence able to improve their research in the long run? In any case, they have superior teaching, and students would appreciate that.
Now meanwhile, the other prestigious universities need to change their strategy; they are losing their revenue from students and are hence risking their position on top of the Australian tertiary system. So what do they do? They adopt the same strategy. Again, you have short term pain for long term gain in regards to their research, but if they don't do this, they risk losing their dominance, or even their existence, in the market.
You brought up an intriguing point, but I don't believe that it is correct.
Given that HECS is a loan, for many students who understand this, they will simply put off the thought of paying until they start working. This is the argument the government is using to convince future students that deregulation won't affect students whilst they are studying. So this will mean students will almost certainly still attend university despite fee increases.
Agreed.
It will not be an inferior product because there won't be a superior product with or without deregulation.
I believe there would be a superior product both ways. Having a competitive advantage is crucial if you want to be successful in a capitalist economy, and in a deregulated system this is what the universities would pursue. If the original focus is on research as you say, then it would follow that investment in teaching would then be one of the most obvious areas for universities to exploit for competitive advantage. A superior product would emerge, and then other universities would attempt to equal or exceed the superiority of that product to succeed in the market. You would therefore have not only a product superior to other universities in that context, but one superior to what they would have under the old system.
And if there was no deregulation, well then the situation is the same is it is now, and I guess it's up to personal interpretation whether you consider some universities to offer better degrees than others. Certainly there has been many a thread made on this website asking which university is better for which course and stuff like that.
The top Australian universities have a reputation that would not be superseded just because fees increased. It would be extremely unlikely for universities outside of the Go8 will be able to have the same, if not better, reputation than the Go8 universities, from fee deregulation.
Similar to what I said above. It's not about the reputation for research; the prestigious universities may still have that regardless of what the less prestigious ones do. But students, at least ones doing undergraduate degrees (whom would arguably be much more populous than those students doing postgraduate research), would prefer quality of teaching to the supposed prestige of that institution. Of course, this wouldn't be the case for everyone. But I think on the whole, they would at least get their undergraduate degree from somewhere that teaches them better. If you are looking at it from an employer's standpoint, a graduate from a university which has an extremely reputable research program, but has also let their teaching program suffer as a result, would most likely be looked upon lesser than a graduate from a university from a lesser research university which has more emphasis on teaching, which has resulted in that university having greater teaching at the end of the day then the more reputable university. Research is not relevant to them, and if one is taught better than the other, it follows that the one who was taught better (ignoring other elements that might play a part such as potential intelligence and aptitude) would be the one who was better off.
Yes, I agree it is unlikely the Go8 universities would be threatened. But why is this? Because they are already on top, so they set the bar. Then if one of the lesser universities tries to exploit a certain product based competitive advantage, other than the cost of the degree, then the Go8 universities would respond by doing the same, so they can keep their market share and retain their dominance in the market. And like I've said, while there is risk involved ultimately they have no choice, and if it works they will benefit in the long term.
Now, I'm sure you chose to go to USYD for numerous reasons, maybe prestige was one of them, or a better structured degree or location or atmosphere or whatever - if fees were higher, and higher across all universities, if teaching quality isn't any better, and those factors were more or less the same, would you still go to USYD? I think you will say yes, and so would hundreds of thousands of students.
Refer to what I said about why increases in teaching quality would happen under a deregulated system above. I think that would establish the unlikelihood of the situation you have described here.
But I'll answer your question from a personal standpoint, just for the sake of not dismissing it. Yes, I would still go to USYD. The atmosphere and learning experience I thought better suited me, and after spending some time here I think the quality of the lecturers are on the whole pretty good. If fees were higher, and everything else was the same, I would still go to USYD. I like learning for the sake of learning and would study regardless of the cost.
I think you need to keep in mind that there are more students than university places demanded for most courses. There is no 'perfect equilibrium' per se. You're using the economic competition model to explain that universities will compete for students by offering a superior product which makes sense when the supply of university positions roughly meets the demand. However, when you have a small number of universities and less places available than students, there is little incentive for universities to invest in their teaching or student experience.
Ah yes, that is a very good point, well spotted. I wanted to avoid this but I think the only way of rebutting this point is through considering political ideology (I don't pretend I'm an expert on this issue so please let me know if my interpretation is incorrect).
Looking at it from a broader context, I do believe that there in fact would either be an equilibrium, or an excess of supply over demand. From a liberal/libertarian political standpoint (which I believe the Coalition holds as well), there is a belief that small government is desirable, and the public sector, where possible, shouldn't compete with the private. Now whether you agree with this or not is really a matter for political debate, I personally do, and as the Coalition does as well I think we can safely say they would be administrating the country with this ideal in mind.
Now one of the reasons behind this small government and aversion to competing with the private sector is, at least from what I can gather, the stimulation this would have to economic activity. If the public sector does not compete, the private sector will thrive, and more businesses and jobs would be created in an attempt to capitalise on the thriving market, which would benefit both the economy and individuals.
So if we extend this argument to the topic of universities, because the Government holds this philosophy, I believe that the deregulation of university fees would allow new universities or tertiary education providers to arise. Like you said, there is currently more demand for university places then there are places themselves. So therefore, there would still be a market for new institutions to market to. Of course if there was an excess of places at universities this wouldn't be the case, but like you said, the opposite situation is definitely true.
That's why I think an equilibrium can exist, and that is why I believe that universities would adhere to the tenets of competitive advantage.
They (at least the big four anyway) will always fill up their spots in the majority of their courses with students irrespective of whether they offer a better or worse product than another university. It is also highly unlikely for universities to dramatically increase the quantity of their student intake as well and even then a position at a university is still a competitive one to get into.
Again, another good point. But again I think this argument is incorrect if there is new competition like I mentioned directly above. There is more of a choice, and there is either an equilibrium or greater supply than demand, so there are other choices for them available, especially if those over universities improve their teaching as a result of exploiting competitive advantage. And like I've said, if the Big 4 are the Big 4 as a result of their reputation, and their reputation is determined by their quality of research, then many undergraduate students would not place emphasis on this.