I don't think that it is too unreasonable to throw up a quote in order to stimulate discussion (I've done as much before, though I'll grant that my posting history probably indicates that I'm likely to engage with the ensuing discussion). In any case, on Pascal's Wager:
shutup434 said:
Bet with God ;]
"Either Christianity is true or it's false. If you bet that it's true, and you believe in God and submit to Him, then if it IS true, you've gained God, heaven, and everything else. If it's false, you've lost nothing, but you've had a good life marked by peace and the illusion that ultimately, everything makes sense. If you bet that Christianity is not true, and it's false, you've lost nothing. But if you bet that it's false, and it turns out to be true, you've lost everything and you get to spend eternity in hell.”
-
Blaise Pascal quotes (
French Mathematician,
Philosopher and
Physicist,
1623-
1662)
The central problem with Pascal's Wager (as hinted at by ur_inner_child) is that it encourages you to believe in any, and every, entity that satisfies the following conditions (other similar sets of conditions could be generated, but we'll keep it simple here):
(1) It is impossible to disconfirm the existence of the entity - i.e. you cannot prove conclusively that they do not exist.
and (2) Belief in the entity will confer some great benefit upon you should that entity exist (e.g. you will get to spend eternity in fantasy land) and will cause no significant detriment should it not exist.
Now, consider that these criteria encourage belief in:
- Mamud the great who, if you are male, will give you one hundred times your weight worth of virgins in the afterlife.
- Mick the leprachaun who will give you a second life in which you have access to all the gold you want.
- Sanctus the omnipotent sprite which gives the true believer an everlasting sensation of love after they die.
- And so on, you catch my drift...
Admitedly, I've been somewhat facetious in coming up with my examples, but you can easily come up with some very serious sounding ones which carry the kind of 'spiritual weight' you would expect from a holy text. Does it really strike you as rational to believe in
all of these entities? Could you possibly find a rational criterion which would lead you to accept some but not others (e.g. something vague like, 'only believe in the entity if you will receive
infinite benefit!')?
In a similar vein to Christopher Hitchins in the video CaptainGh3y posted I feel I should ask you: would you really feel comfortable rocking up to god's high chair and saying 'I believe in you for the same reason I believe in Mamud, Mick, Sanctus, the FSM and the Big Purple Dorito'? I don't know about you, but if there is a god up there that endorses a rational principle like that I'm not sure I want to be part of that club. More to the point though, if god is supposed to be hyper-rational and omniscient wouldn't you expect that they would
not endorse Pascal's reasoning, given its absurd consequences?